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SCATHUNTER NBA FINALS PREDICTION NUGGETS VS HEAT Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions Corey Scott February 13, 2023 12:55 pm ET The Denver Nuggets (39-18) and Miami Heat (32-25) meet Monday at Miami-Dade Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions. The Nuggets covered the spread as 7-point favorites Saturday in a 119-105 win at the Charlotte Hornets. C Nikola Jokic had a triple-double with 30 points, 16 rebounds and 10 assists as Denver ended its 4-game road skid. The Nuggets are 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 8 games after covering in their previous contest. The Heat covered as 1.5-point favorites Saturday with a 107-103 overtime win at the Orlando Magic. G Tyler Herro scored a game-high 23 points as Miami won its 3rd straight. The Heat are 1-5 ATS vs. the Nuggets in the last 6 meetings in Miami. This is the 2nd meeting this season between the Nuggets and Heat. In the Dec. 30 meeting, the Nuggets covered as 4-point home favorites with a 124-119 win as the Over (224.5) connected. Can you survive? New pro and college basketball survivor pools are here at USA TODAY Sports! Free to play; terms and conditions apply. Join now! Nuggets at Heat odds Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:46 p.m. ET. Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Heat +100 (bet $100 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -1.5 (-110) | Heat +1.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -112 | U: -108) Catch the excitement and bet with Tipico Double Down, Ohio! Deposit $200, Get $250. Bet now! In Colorado and New Jersey, claim your 100% Deposit Match up to $250 now. Bet now! 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Nuggets at Heat injuries Nuggets F Aaron Gordon (rib) questionableG Jamal Murray (knee) questionable Heat C Bam Adebayo (knee) probableG Tyler Herro (knee) doubtfulG Kyle Lowry (knee) outG Victor Oladipo (ankle) outF Duncan Robinson (finger) outF Max Strus (shoulder) probableG Gabe Vincent (ankle) probable For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report. Nuggets at Heat picks and predictions Prediction Nuggets 110, Heat 100 Moneyline PASS. The Nuggets (-120) should win, but there is no need to buy the 1.5 points on Denver when it should win by margin. Bet the spread and/or total instead. Against the spread BET NUGGETS -1.5 (-110). Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games vs. teams with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games overall. The Heat have struggled at home vs. the Nuggets in recent meetings and may be due for a letdown after coming back from a double-digit 4th-quarter deficit at the Magic on Saturday. Over/Under BET UNDER 219.5 (-108). The Under is 5-1-1 in Denver’s last 7 contests away from home and 3-1-1 in the Nuggets’ last 5 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage over .600. The Under has hit in 6 of Miami’s last 7 home games and is 4-1 in the Heat’s last 5 after covering in its previous contest. For the first time in NBA history, a No. 7 (Lakers) and 8 (Heat) seed are in the conference finals. You might be tempted to call these developments a fluke. They’re not. They are an illustration of what has become an extremely equitable NBA landscape. In sports, we love to say “anybody can win” but that’s rarely actually true. At this moment in the NBA, it is true. The 2023 title race was wide open at the start of the playoffs. and it remains wide open now that we’re down to the final four. If you’re looking for the betting favorite, it’s the Celtics at +105, followed by the Nuggets (+240), Lakers (+300) and the Heat, who come in at +1600, via Caesars Sportsbook. If you ask me, that’s some pretty great value on Miami, which could reasonably win the whole thing. I don’t think they will. In fact, I’m picking them to lose to Boston in the ECF. But it could happen. Anything could happen. With that in mind, let’s get to our staff picks for the two conference-final matchups, which begin Tuesday with the Lakers at Denver. (All predictions were made before the series started.) Nuggets vs. Lakers picks Bill Reiter Sam Quinn Colin Ward-Henninger Brad Botkin James Herbert Michael Kaskey-Blomain Jasmyn Wimbish Jack Maloney Nuggets Nuggets Nuggets Nuggets Nuggets Lakers Nuggets Nuggets Reiter’s pick: Nuggets in 5. There’s no time like the present to go all-in correcting a mistake. And the Nuggets have showcased to me and those around the NBA just how great they are. Nikola Jokic, of course, is an all-world talent, but this is a complete basketball team that compliments Joker’s immense talents. They made easy work of the Phoenix Suns, and there’s no reason to think they can’t do the same against the Lakers. LA’s run has been remarkable, of course — but LeBron’s age and minutes, AD’s fragility and unreliability and the reliance on so many overachieving role players catches up to them against a legit No. 1 seed. Quinn’s pick: Nuggets in 6. Denver has been by far the best team of the postseason. The Lakers have been rockier, hitting enormous highs and troubling lows that often boil down to their inconsistent 3-point shooting and how much energy LeBron James is capable of expending at any given time. They are incredibly vulnerable to foul trouble in this matchup. As well as Anthony Davis played the last time the Lakers and Nuggets met in the playoffs, Dwight Howard spent major chunks of that series guarding Nikola Jokic. The Lakers have no such secondary option. If Davis ever has to sit, Jokic gets to destroy Wenyen Gabriel. It’s been a remarkable effort for the Lakers, but the Nuggets have been the class of the West all season, and they should enter this series as the favorite. Ward-Henninger’s pick: Nuggets in 7. I vastly underestimated the Lakers before seeing them methodically eviscerate the Warriors, but the Nuggets are a much better team with an unstoppable MVP playing the best basketball of his career. Denver should have success drawing Anthony Davis out of the paint defensively, opening up back-door cuts and drives to the lane. Offensively the Lakers should have much […]
